Pre-mortem
A pre-mortem, or futurespective, asks the team to imagine that an upcoming project has already failed and to explain why. Each imagined failure then gets warning signs, prevention measures and a contingency plan, before the risk becomes real.
- Duration
- 35–40 min
- Team size
- 3–12 people
- Level
- Intermediate
- Category
- Project & future planning
When to use Pre-mortem
- Before starting a project, launch or migration.
- When the team is optimistic and risks are going unspoken.
- Planning sessions where you want owners for the biggest risks.
Purpose: Identify risks before an upcoming sprint, release, or project.
The prompts
The Failure
It failed. What went wrong?
Warning Signs
What would reveal this risk early?
Prevention
What could reduce its likelihood?
Contingency
What will we do if it happens?
How to run a Pre-mortem: step by step
- 1
Establish the failure scenario · 3 min
Say: 'It's three months from now and this initiative has failed badly.' Make it vivid.
- 2
Brainstorm potential causes · 5 min
Silently write the reasons it failed — one per card, as if it already happened.
- 3
Reveal & group risks · 7 min
Read the risks out. Merge duplicates so each risk appears once.
- 4
Prioritise risks · 5 min
Everyone spends their votes on what matters most. Totals stay hidden until you move on.
- 5
Define prevention & contingencies · 12 min
Work through the top risks. For each, add warning signs, preventive measures and a contingency plan.
- 6
Assign owners & triggers · 5 min
Give each mitigation an owner. Use a warning sign as the trigger for the contingency.
Example
Notes a software team might write:
The Failure
- Launch collapsed under real traffic
Warning Signs
- p95 latency above 800 ms in staging load tests
Prevention
- Load test at 2× expected traffic
Contingency
- Feature flag to fall back to the old flow
Expected outcome: Prioritised risks with mitigation actions, early warning signals, and contingency plans.
Facilitation tips
- Writing in the past tense ('it failed because…') unlocks more honest risks.
- Focus mitigation on the top 3 risks.
Running Pre-mortem in RetroPop
Each imagined failure gets its own row with warning signs, prevention measures and a contingency plan linked to it, then risks are prioritised by vote.
Each stage comes with instructions for the facilitator and the participants and a suggested timer you can adjust. Teammates join with a link and their name; no account needed.
Start a Futurespective: Pre-mortem retro